Economy and Depitalism

In today’s WSJ there is an article titled As Middle Class Shrinks, P&G Aims High and Low. WSJ is now a subscriber access only to full articles so I can’t provide a link to the article because I read it on our internal news site. I can share what I found to be particularly insightful about our economy that is not usually so plainly and clearly stated. The following is direct quotes from the article.

In the wake of the worst recession in 50 years, there’s little doubt that the American middle class — the 40% of households with annual incomes between $50,000 and $140,000 a year — is in distress. Even before the recession, incomes of American middle-class families weren’t keeping up with inflation, especially with the rising costs of what are considered the essential ingredients of middle-class life — college education, health care and housing. In 2009, the income of the median family, the one smack in the middle of the middle, was lower, adjusted for inflation, than in 1998, the Census Bureau says.
The slumping stock market and collapse in housing prices have also hit middle-class Americans. At the end of March,
Americans had $6.1 trillion in equity in their houses — the value of the house minus mortgages — half the 2006 level, according to the Federal Reserve. Economist Edward Wolff of New York University estimates that the net worth — household assets minus debts — of the middle fifth of American households grew by 2.4% a year between 2001 and 2007 and plunged by 26.2% in the following two years.

To monitor the evolving American consumer market, P&G executives study the Gini index, a widely accepted measure of income inequality that ranges from zero, when everyone earns the same amount, to one, when all income goes to only one person. In 2009, the most recent calculation available, the Gini coefficient totaled 0.468, a 20% rise in income disparity over the past 40 years, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. “We now have a Gini index similar to the Philippines and Mexico — you’d never have imagined that,” says Phyllis Jackson, P&G’s vice president of consumer market knowledge for North America. “I don’t think we’ve typically thought about America as a country with big income gaps to this extent.”

“This has been the most humbling aspect of our jobs,” says Ms. Jackson. “The numbers of Middle America have been shrinking because people have been getting hurt so badly economically that they’ve been falling into lower income.”

2 cents:
This information confirms what I have been saying, we never got out of the recession and it is pointing to the reality that depitalism of the past is gone – at least for the foreseeable future. I put the qualifying remark on there because we all know that typically we learn nothing from history so we often repeat the same mistakes etc. That “said” the average citizen in our country has been impacted significantly by the practice of depitalism and its inevitable fracture. We will continue to see high unemployment numbers and little if any economic growth. This is the new reality – the new norm. Households have to identify and come to terms with this and make the necessary changes so that they can begin thriving – not in a # of purchases way but a well-being way.

Depitalism

Bernanke says American consumers are too bleak. That consumers “are depressed beyond reason or expectation.” Even considering everything that the American family is having to wade through the citizen is “behaving as if the economy is even worse than it actually is.”

The US economy is a model based on debt and unwise spending decisions which I refer to as Depitalism. What we have now is the infrastructure that requires the perpetuity of bad decisions in order for it to survive. What should be happening is the infrastructure being resized and realigned to wiser spending decisions > this is the too big to fail being allowed to fail and no more bailouts > the result when it all settles will be an infrastructure based on wise spending practices. The US is NOT a capitalistic society it is a mutated capitalistic society. It is capitalism with the addition of deficit spending and mechanisms in place that require such actions in order for the whole system to remain functioning. What governments, companies and corporations need to do is right size their organizations and processes to meet the new more reasonable spending practices instead of sitting by with their arms crossed, pouting saying “everything is ok”.

unfortunately no improvement

Nov. 30th

Late last week the University of MI consumer sentiment report and analysis was released. It is “present” looking study and has over 30 years of historical data to compare the present with. It is a nice, short and sweet snapshot of the national consumer “feeling” about spending and earning. The November report highlights:

Unfortunately, there has been no improvement in consumers’ financial prospect in the past two years. While consumers clearly believe that the recovery has gained some traction, most still think that the economic gains will be too small to improve their own job and income position anytime soon.”

 

The personal finances of consumers remained quite bleak in November. Nearly twice as many consumers re-ported that their finances had worsened rather than improved during the past year, with one-in-three reporting declines in household income.

 

The majority of households expected no income increase during the year ahead in November, for the 23rd consecutive

 

The Expectations Index, a component of the Index of Leading Economic Indicators, worsened during the past year (-2.6%).

 

The monthly report is available here: https://customers.reuters.com/community/university/default.aspx#