Tag: iran

Failed foreign policy leads to loss of lives, appears even more to follow

Picture a school playground. Outside playing are kids 7 -9 years old. There is one teacher monitoring the activity.

Billy has communicated out loud to anyone in hearing that he hates Tommy. He says he will bash his brains out. Tommy plays outside with a couple friends but he plays near the teacher in this way hoping to prevent Billy from hurting him.,

One day the teacher noticed Billy picking up a large rock from the pretty border work around the play yard. He looked around and started walking across the playground. Tommy didn’t see him but the teacher did and watched. He was coming closer to Tommy.

In the interview that afternoon with the teacher the police asked her why she didn’t stop Tommy? The teacher’s reply was that they felt they would be able to tell when Billy was going to actually go through with attacking Tommy and they they would be able to stop it. After all kids play with rocks don’t they? The police was bewildered by the response.

I share this illustration because – once again – the current administration’s failed foreign policy has the real possibility of allowing loss of lives.

Below is a Debka article from this morning. I have added emphasis in some areas. For people who follow this story the developments are not surprising however that doesn’t mean that we aren’t greatly troubled at what we are seeing play out.

_______

President Barack Obama this week clued Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in on the latest US intelligence input confirming that Iran will have enough enriched uranium for 4-6 bombs by March 2013, DEBKAfile reports from its Washington and intelligence sources.  His update, which took place in the framework of quiet US-Israeli intelligence-sharing on the state of Iran’s nuclear program, was Obama’s first acknowledgment that sanctions and diplomatic pressure are not having any effect on that program.

It is now clear to his administration that Iran’s leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will press on toward a nuclear weapon capacity at any price – even if faced with a military threat. No pause is to be expected in Iran’s drive to accumulate enough enriched uranium to fuel a nuclear bomb arsenal, while advancing at the same time along a second track toward a plutonium bomb.

This updated US intelligence included three more data:

1.  Most of the enriched uranium for the 4-6 nuclear bombs is scattered in 20-percent grade form among different caches.  When vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan revealed Iran’s possession of enough fissile material for five nuclear bombs during his debate with VP Joe Biden on Oct. 10, Biden waved the revelation away with contempt.

It is now confirmed by his boss, the president.

2.  After completing the transfer of advanced centrifuges to the fortified underground site at Fordo, Iran is now ready to expand uranium enrichment at Natanz by doubling the number of centrifuges working there to 6,000. The new annex to house them, on which building began in March 2011, is almost finished.

3.  The technological infrastructure for the rapid conversion of 20-percent enriched uranium to the 90-percent weapons grade is now in place. It is estimated in Washington that no more than two to three weeks will elapse between a Khamenei order for the conversion to begin, to the production of enough weapons-grade material for Iran to build its first nuclear bombs.

The US intelligence experts keeping track of Iran’s program are sure they will know when that order is given.

Notwithstanding all the facts and figures from his own intelligence experts on the imminence of a nuclear Iran, President Obama is still leaning hard on Netanyahu to hold off a preemptive strike until after the Nov. 6 presidential election. He promises that, shortly after the vote, if he is reelected, he will put before Tehran the endgame document prepared by a White House team in the form of an ultimatum with a deadline for response.

But Obama is still not saying how he will respond to an Iranian rejection of the document’s main points, or whether he will again agree to return to the negotiating table while Iran is allowed to forge ahead on its bomb program. This had been the standard diplomatic format under his watch.

DEBKAfile’s Washington sources disclose that a large group of former high-placed US diplomats, ex-officials and elder statesmen – Democrats and Republicans alike – has come forward to warn the Israeli prime minister to give up any expectation, ever, of Barack Obama’s cooperation on the Iranian nuclear issue. These former top Washingtonians all harbor strong reservations about the president’s foreign policy, especially on Iran.

Some have called Netanyahu in person and warned him that the White House instituted an intelligence-sharing dialogue with Israel only as a device for delaying an Israeli attack on Iran. If reelected, they say, he will weasel out of his repeated pledges to prevent Iran attaining a nuclear weapon and certainly not countenance preventive military action by Israel.

This is no secret to Tehran. Counting on Obama maintaining this posture and Israel’s compliance, the Iranians are certain they can go full speed ahead toward their nuclear goal without fear of interference.

Our sources also disclose that three questions on Iran will be put to the president and his Republican challenger Mitt Romney in their third and last debate at Lynn University in Boca Raton, Florida, Monday, Oct. 22.

______

2 cents:

Note that Ryan shared this information in the debate about a couple weeks ago. Note that Biden blew it off.

This information had been in the hands of our so-called leadership for AT LEAST a couple weeks (I suspect longer) and yet our government does not share it or use it. Why? Focusing on the presidential election. Which provides yet another example  of the absence of leadership in the executive branch and state department.

 

icubudLeave a comment

Crossing another red line

From Debka this morning:
“Tehran managed to install the last four clusters of 174 centrifuges each inside in “Fordo’s B Chamber” shortly before European Union foreign ministers approved toughened sanctions in Brussels Monday, 15 Oct….This is in line with Tehran’s consistent response to every form of pressure, financial, economic, intelligence or military, which is to whip up its nuclear program for an extra spurt and leave no assault unanswered….DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources report that the Iranians are preparing to change the “active formation” of the Fordo centrifuges and adapt them for refining uranium up to the 60 percent level, a short step before the weapons grade of 90 percent. The conversion is expected to be ready to go in the second half of December or early January, 2013…US and Israeli intelligence experts on Iran recently arrived at a consensual assessment that Fordo was the only site capable of producing uranium enriched to the high 90 percent level.
Iran has therefore leapt across another red line in its steady advance toward a nuclear capability and is about to across its next….

But both the British and Israeli prime ministers haven’t forgotten that only a few weeks ago, Israel had marked with a red line a fully operational Fordo which had to be stopped before it was buried out of reach in “an immune zone.”

That line was crossed this week and still Israel has refrained from action.

What this means for Tehran is that, so long as Israel heeds the “advice” coming from Washington and London, and President Obama holds back from the “October surprise” proposed by one of his insiders, Tehran need not be afraid to go forward and start refining uranium up to 60 percent and, from there, all the way up to the manufacture of a nuclear bomb without hindrance.”

whole article here

2 cents:
I wonder how long it will be before any of the MSM in the USA reports this.  If I was Romney I would bring this point up today at an appearance and do so for at least 24 hours. Tie this feat around the neck of O and his lack of leadership and poor decision making.  Before making the comments I would suggest confirming this report with Netanyahu privately.

It is an atrocity that Iran has been allowed to progress this far.

icubudLeave a comment

Spreading Iranian cyber attacks hit Israeli military, US financial and Gulf oil targets

Interesting article at Debka this morning. Something not getting much if any MSM attention here in the USA is how Iran is pushing back at O in reference to the nuclear question and resulting sanctions.

It seems that the pushing back is getting nothing but words from O’s administration. You know something like the parent in a store who keeps telling their kid to quit misbehaving or they’ll get spanked or whatever it is parents aren’t doing but just threatening.

Hopefully something horrible doesn’t have to happen before O’s administration acts — see Benghazi. Come to think of it, besides investigating, what actually has been done to bring those guilty to justice?

 

 

icubudLeave a comment

Netanyahu’s red-line speech

Jerusalem Post

Debka

New York Times

It is no surprise the volume of material being reported my MSM and alternative news outlets on the events of the last 24 hours. Netanyahu’s speech was successful for his ability for plainly stating his case why a “red-line” approach is needed by the world in reference to Iran’s nuclear proliferation. Some sources share the O’s administration was irked by Netanyahu’s remarks but I am sure that doesn’t concern him.

“Netanyahu made apparent reference to criticism that it was inelegant of him to make an issue of the red lines with the US so close to the November presidential election, saying he was speaking about the issue now ” because the Iranian nuclear calendar doesn’t take time out for anyone or for anything. I speak about it now because when it comes to the survival of my country, it’s not only my right to speak; it’s my duty to speak.””.

Not surprisingly Iran’s retort to Netanyahu’s speech was that Israel needed to come clean about its nuclear weapons arsenal. We will see this drum beating gain traction, I am certain of it.

icubudLeave a comment

More than Noise

It will be interesting to see how the next 24-48 hours unfold following the airing of O on 60 Minutes last night. I can not stomach watching him so I am relying on reporters and analysts about the show. Hopefully I will find a transcript of the interview.

Debka which is an Israeli independent news and intelligence website has an article tying O’s remarks as further proof that he will not cooperate with Netanyahu in reference to joint military action or even a definitive red-line.  The Weekly Standard has an article pointing out the O’s language about Israel mirrors Ahmadinejad’s remarks about Israel.

The election is too close to call and that apparently translates into putting Netanyahu at an arm’s length. Conversation over the phone will not produce a photo-op that can be shared, printed and appear as cooperation and alliance. Phone calls make it easier to be formal and distant. O and his election campaign managers and consultants apparently believe that they need to have Israel stand on point in the matter of Iranian nuclear production and proliferation. Iran knows that with the current USA administration that talking while working clandestinely is the best SOP because as long as nothing  is flagrant then USA military action will not occur.

For O if suddenly Iran produced a nuclear bomb it would merely be an intelligence failure. For Israel it may very well be an end of existence.

The imagery O uses referring to Netanyahu’s pleas for help as “noise” reflects O’s ignorance or ulterior motives. For example, a man is sitting on a bench waiting for a bus and reading a book. Coming from behind him he hears exclamations “Help! Fire! Call 911!” He sits up a bit, looks down the street for the bus and then resumes reading his book. “Please! My family is inside! Someone please help! Mister on the bench please get us help! Please call 911!” The gentleman furrows his brow determined to focus on reading his book. “Help! Please help!” The bus pulls up, he stands up and enters the bus. The driver asks him what is going on? “I don’t know I was trying to read but their was a lot of noise out there.”

Pleas for help when action is needed is not noise unless you are one who does not want to act.

icubudLeave a comment

Motives – Benghazi, Israel & Obama

Some comments about the events over the past week in the Middle East.

One, it is important to O that the events of Benghazi be interpreted under the guise of the video that has been labeled as anti-Mohammad. Why? Because O had promised during the last presidential election campaign to resolve the anti-America sentiment of Islamists. See he would usher in an era of peace and understanding. Central to this action was his apologetic speech to all Muslims in Cairo during his first year as president. If the events of Benghazi were a planned attack and that even in reference to 9/11 as well as the recent death of another A-Q leader, then clearly O not only failed on this campaign promise it also shows his lack of understanding and ignorance about the whole ideological war.  This is a point that Romney-Ryan need to bang home to the US citizens.

Second, the red line Israel wants from the O administration. O says when the US knows for certain that Iran is going to make a nuclear weapon THEN when will the US act militarily. This obviously is a dangerous position to base one’s actions on and Israel wants to make sure that that is the only red line option O has or if there is room for one prior to that realization. Now what I am going to share will probably not be popular but unless I learn some truth that rebuts I am standing on this position. I am persuaded that O’s desire is to push the nuclear weapon argument against Israel. My way of thinking is this: O punts the heavy reality of his goal to a second term or at worst that it be the next administration’s problem. Let’s say – horror of horrors that O wins a second term as president of the US. I believe his plan is to roll out like: “Iran, what will it take to ensure you will not seek a nuclear weapon?” Response> “when all countries in the Middle East do not have this technology – meaning specifically – Israel.” O to Israel> “this is a fair request > we need Israel to admit to its nuclear weapons and agree to have them destroyed.” This will shift the onus of the nuclear discussion off of Iran and put the pressure and the black hat on Israel.

As you can see this is not a discussion he wants to take place before the election. Such action would likely result in his defeat. The use of drones that he has allowed is not a contradiction ideologically to what I figure his goal is because the drones use is against extreme terrorist Muslims which are sowing discontent during his presidency. I am fully persuaded that a second term would include a drastic reduction if not elimination of drone use to kill terrorists.

We desperately need a regime change in DC and hopefully in November we will receive the news that it is coming soon.

icubudLeave a comment