Tag: 2 cents

Ottawa – out

A bit of interesting, possibly telling, news: Canada pulls out & closes embassy in Tehran while also expelling Iranian diplomats from Canada.

Here information can be found in reference to the caper referred to in the article.

2 cents:

Indeed a good question – why now? I don’t find it hard to believe that it is just as the Canadians are saying. Why? In today’s world of technology, leaks and so-called transparency (which is only that way if it provides positive positioning by those being so-called transparent) – I find it hard to believe that Canada – alone – got whiff of something. Personally I think the leaders in Ottawa should have left a long time ago, in fact why even have an embassy there? So anytime the Canadians actually wised up and left would lead to the question “why now?” Make sense?

Why share on this blog?

1. Further isolation of Iran means more pressure on them and also enraging them.
2. In the possibility the why now question is a whiff of something.

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See!

ISLAMISTS INSTALLED IN EGYPT STATE INSTITUTIONS

excerpt:
“CAIRO (AP) — Egypt’s Islamist leadership took a new move Tuesday to put its stamp on the country’s government, appointing members of the fundamentalist Muslim Brotherhood as provincial governors and installing ultraconservatives and other Islamists in the state’s top human rights body and a powerful media council.”

2 cents: Remember the CES wanted MB in control.

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Spiritual reality

Krauthammer is again trying to get through the thick skulls of policy makers and citizens. His point is accurate. Again – what is involved in the Iran-Israel dynamic is ultimately a spiritual matter. Working solely from a secular POV is dangerous and wrong. His recent article shows half the spiritual component of the situation between these two countries. The other half of the formula is from the perspective of God and His prophecies that are yet to be fulfilled.

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in the corner

Cutting through the US-Israeli debate over where to put “red lines” for Iran, Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah said Monday night, Sept. 3 that Iran would hit US bases in the Middle East in response to any Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities, even if the Americans were not involved in the attack…Netanyahu called a special cabinet meeting for Tuesday, Sept. 4 with the participation of the heads of Israel’s clandestine services, Military Intelligence, the Mossad, the Shin Bet and the Foreign Office Research Division, to hear their annual report.
It is likely to go on all day with updates on the situation in Syria, Egypt and Jordan – all weighty topics. But the agenda will certainly be topped with a detailed rundown on the current state of Iran’s nuclear program.
After that rundown, the prime minister and defense minister will enter the final decision-making stage on war against Iran.

Nasrallah carried a triple message from Tehran to Washington and Jerusalem:
1.  Iran believes an Israeli attack will take place before the US presidential election on Nov. 6;

2.  Tehran is drawing on a powerful deterrent: Lest anyone expected a low-key Iranian response to an attack on its nuclear facilities, the Hizballah leader put them right when he said, “the response will be very great” and “America bears responsibility.”

3. By putting Nasrallah out front as a leading Iranian spokesman, Khamenei signaled that Hizballah would take an active role in the coming conflict.
DEBKAfile: The chatter about “red lines” in the last few days has therefore had the effect of stirring the Iranians into preempting them by a single sharp stroke.

The full article here

2 cents:

Israel, specifically Netanyahu and the government has made the same mistake many other leaders in Israel’s history have made. A nation brought into existence by God’s calling out of Abram – they have looked solely at a fellow man as a protector for their people. Over the period of time since their recognition as a nation by world governments and the UN, they have again grown entangled in the devices of other governments and took their eyes off God. It ALWAYS has devastating repercussions. In the early days of the modern era of Israel, God delivered them repeatedly from their enemies. But as they have grown, become successful and more secularized they have sought leagues with other nations and allowed themselves to become pawns for other kings. In the current scenario that is unfolding, Netanyahu has placed too much trust and power into the CES’ hands. Now after many days have went passed which have allowed not only continual progress of nuclear technology to be realized in Iran, it has also allowed for strategy and resources to be determined and allocated for a swift and much heavier handed response to a military action in Iran. All because of Netanyahu placing his faith and country’s well-being in the last two administrations of the USA government. Israel is now backed into a corner and the corner man is the CES and he is not known for his ability to lead or make the right decision.

The spiritual dynamic to the Middle East conflicts are being overlooked because society on a whole is secularized. How ignorant of the human race!

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Israel needs to prepare for unilateral action

An article in today’s NYT “To Calm Israel, US Offers Way to Restrain Iran”.

2 cents:
The reality is that Israel has learned unless it holds the president of the USA over a fire, nothing will be done in reference to Iran. The previous administration did very little about the Iran dynamic which Israel did little if anything to push the USA government and the world to the Iran nuclear reality. NOW Israel has determined the formula to make Iran’s nuclear ambitions a global matter. And of course, they are right – it is a global matter.

As the writer points out, the CES has allowed Iran to dictate the course of the matter. And as Israel had pointed out, Iran has used the supposed channels of diplomacy to actually stall military action against them while allowing them to burrow far into the earth and continue to make nuclear material. What has happened over the past three years is that Iran has multiplied their centrifuges and increased potency of the nuclear production. They have managed to move if not all at least most of their production  facilities far below the earth – out of harm’s way from most conventional weapons. They are at the stage where Israel and the USA agrees that a military option simply delays production a couple years; meaning their nuclear manufacturing infrastructure is here to stay.

So considering this what is the plan? It is my opinion that the CES deliberately delayed military action while holding if not threatening Israel not to act so that eventually (which is where we are now) an Israeli military unilateral action would not have the devastating impact desired. For a real devastating strike it would then require USA military and cooperation which puts the decision making in the CES’ hands. The decision Israel now has to scrapple with is – is unilateral action the only action that will in reality occur in time? After all delay of two years is another 730 days of existence which is far better. In the Israeli decision, the election of the president of USA is a serious variable. With the USA MSM reporting the election is a dead heat, it makes the decision process murkier and more difficult. Much press has been made floating an October strike date. Which an October strike date requires readiness which is what needs to be the SOP right now for those involved.

Look for the CES to make the decision hard for Israel. If I was Israel I would use a three branch strategy.

1. Military readiness begins now – assume you will have to act unilaterally. Don’t talk about it, just plan for it.
2. Prepare the citizens of Israel for your action. Safety initiatives. Attack drills. Work with local councils, commerce and other organizations toward the goal of saving lives and livelihood.
3. Reach out quietly to allies and those you wish to be allies. Not big photo ops. Quiet diplomacy making the case that action is required.

This would remove the decision making from CES’ hands and put it back with Israel. Israel’s sovereignty and existence needs to be owned and managed by Israel.

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Implications

Iran: (emphasis added)

Obama stood up to the blasts from a number of influential American editorial writers and strategic analysts who urged him to offer Israel a solemn commitment for a pre-emptive American offensive against Iran from the Knesset podium, as a means of holding the Netanyahu government back from military action in the fall of 2012. Another suggestion was for the president to formally notify the US congress of his plans for military action if Iran persisted in speeding the development of ifs nuclear weapon capacity.
Obama rejected both suggestions – and Iran continued to accelerate its advance towards a nuclear weapon undisturbed.
Thursday, diplomats close to the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna, disclosed that Iran had installed another 1,000 uranium enrichment machines in its fortified underground facility at Fordo, and was expanding its production of 20-percent refined uranium.
Experts not bound by the IAEA’s diplomatic constraints report that enrichment climbed to 30 percent some months ago and was now on the way to 60 percent. At least 3,000 centrifuges were now spinning at Fordo.

Israel recently passed information to Washington that Iran had already developed a radioactive (dirty) bomb.
Yet US official spokesmen keep on intoning that there is still room for diplomacy – even after all the parties admitted that the Six Power talks with Tehran broke down irretrievably weeks ago. And Friday, Aug. 24, seven hours of argument between the IAEA and Iranian representatives failed to dent Iran’s implacable opposition to any reduction in its nuclear drive or the slightest transparency.

Whole article here

Egypt: (emphasis added)

Al Qaeda targets Riyadh, Jeddah and Sderot. Saudi cell had chemicals

Al Qaeda Salafists target kibbutz and IDF post on second day of strikes

A Muslim Brotherhood delegation was in Sinai last week, followed by emissaries of President Mohamed Morsi, among whom were members of the violent Al Gama’a al-Islamiya (which was responsible for assassinating President Anwar al Sadat in 1981).

2 cents: The actions as well as inaction of the CES has enabled both of these boiling pots. What does this reveal about his beliefs?

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